Democrats are feckless. When it counts, they always fold. After all, they’re more beholden to donors and lobbyists than they are to their base.
This narrative is so old, so straightforward, and so pleasingly infuriating that it just rolls off the tongue. So when Democrats in Congress struck a compromise with Republicans to reopen the government late on Monday, the despairing headlines immediately took over every left-of-center publication in the country. By the end of the evening, #SchumerSellout was trending across the country on Twitter.
When I sat down to write this article, I assumed that the great minds of Twitter were right. My job is to follow public policy pretty closely, but Monday was the first day of the semester, and I spent the whole day printing syllabi, meeting with students, and teaching my introductory sessions. So when I finally got a chance to go online, and read the news, I assumed that all the despairing headlines must be right. My heart sank pondering what concessions Chuck Schumer must have made to draw such righteous anger.
Then I started reading up on the actual details of the deal.
In case you’ve forgotten, Republicans currently hold unified control over the federal government. They were seemingly more than happy to let health insurance for 9 million American children expire indefinitely. And lest we forget, conservatives are much more hostile to central functions of the government — from collecting taxes to ensuring compliance with environmental standards — than liberals. A few weeks ago, it very much looked as though they held all the cards in their hands.
Buoyed by grassroots support, the Democratic leaders in Congress turned the tables. They made it clear that they had two big preconditions for any long-term deal to fund the government. First, children’s health insurance would have to be extended for a substantial period of time. Second, Republicans would have to strike a deal to protect the 900,000 Dreamers who will be at risk of deportation unless Congress offers them a more certain future by the beginning of March.
Monday’s deal is a full victory on the first count. The CHIP program has been extended for six years. Nine million children — a very large share of whom, by the way, are brown or black — will keep access to health care. The moral importance of this accomplishment should be evident to everybody.
The deal is, admittedly, only a partial victory on the second count. Mitch McConnell made a public and detailed promise on the floor of the Senate that he would undertake to broker a bipartisan agreement on Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals. If our politics were minimally sane, we should be able to trust such an unequivocal statement by the Senate majority leader. But since congressional Republicans have, again and again, shown just how little store they set by conventional markers of morality (like, say, the Ninth Commandment), it is perfectly sensible to mistrust McConnell.
But Democrats have only voted to extend funding for the government for another three weeks. Once that time is up, the fate of the Dreamers will not rest in McConnell’s hands any more now than it did a few days ago. For if the Senate majority leader goes back on his word, Democrats will enjoy exactly the same leverage they held until Monday: By withholding their votes, they will be able to shut the government down. And since McConnell’s betrayal will be so blatant, they will find it much easier to put blame for any resulting shutdown squarely on Republican shoulders.
Passionate partisans think of themselves as wanting to win, but they actually crave the righteous anger that comes with losing. Convinced that they have been betrayed too many times to count, they start to take as much pleasure in finding an excuse to hate on their traitorous leaders as they do in actually accomplishing their stated goals.
But by any reasonable measure, Monday’s deal was a real step in the right direction. Nine million kids will be able to keep their health insurance. And while it is a crying shame that 900,000 Dreamers still have to live in fear of what the future might hold, Schumer and his much-maligned troops have protected their power to fight for their fate a few short weeks from now.
The conventional wisdom on the left has quickly become that this doesn’t matter because congressional Democrats will never have the guts to stand up for the Dreamers. Based on their performance over the past year — and especially over the past days — I’m willing to take a bet that they will.
Yascha Mounk is a lecturer on government at Harvard University, a senior fellow in the Political Reform Program at New America, and executive director at the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change. © 2018 Slate